Soft 15 in blackjack: the verdict vs every dealer card
Soft 15 can’t bust on one card — the ace flexes from 11 to 1 — so the row is about pressing edges, not survival: hit against 2–3, double against 4, double against 5–6 and hit against 7–A.
The row, at a glance
| You | Dealer’s upcard | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | A | |
| 15 | H | H | D | D | D | H | H | H | H | H |
Every cell links to the full page: exact EV of each action, win/push/lose odds, and the math behind the call.
Character of the hand
Best-play win chance runs from 36.2% against a 10 to 52.3% against a 6. The clearest call is Soft 15 vs A — the wrong pick costs about 49.4¢ per $1. And vs 4 is a genuine coin-flip: the gap is under a cent, either top action is fine.
All ten matchups
Soft 15 vs 2Hitwin 47.3%Soft 15 vs 3Hitwin 48.9%Soft 15 vs 4Double (borderline)win 49.1%Soft 15 vs 5Doublewin 50.9%Soft 15 vs 6Doublewin 52.3%Soft 15 vs 7Hitwin 47.7%Soft 15 vs 8Hitwin 43.6%Soft 15 vs 9Hitwin 39.3%Soft 15 vs 10Hitwin 36.2%Soft 15 vs AHitwin 38.3%
Quick answers
Do you ever double soft 15?
Yes — against 4 and 5–6. Where doubling isn’t allowed, hit instead. Full breakdown: Soft 15 vs 2.
Hit or stand on soft 15 against a dealer 2?
Basic strategy says Hit. Your chance of winning with the best play is about 47.3% (push 5.3%). Full breakdown: Soft 15 vs 2.