Dealer bust odds with a 9 showing

Dealer shows a 9: they bust 22.84% of the time under stand-on-soft-17 rules (22.84% if the table hits soft 17). Exact figures, computed by full recursion — here is everything that upcard can become.

What it means for your hand

The dealer completes a pat 17–21 about 77.16% of the time here, so standing on a stiff total surrenders the hand to the odds. Basic strategy keeps hitting 12–16 against a 9 — busting occasionally is cheaper than standing into a made hand. US peek rules assumed: a dealer blackjack ends the round before decisions, so naturals are excluded from the table. See the full upcard comparison or the strategy chart this number feeds into.

Hands this upcard decides

Frequently asked